top-navigation-logo
Pricing

1 day ago
Zach WilliamsZach Williams

The Cannibalization Cliff: How to stop solar eating its own revenues

In Great Britain, solar and wind will generate 70% of electricity during peak solar hours by 2035. But this surge in supply brings a harsh commercial reality: solar is cannibalizing its own value.

With more solar generation concentrated around midday, prices are collapsing exactly when solar output is highest. Revenues are dropping. Contract for Difference (CfD) payments are no longer a guaranteed lifeline. And merchant-exposed projects are under pressure.

The commercial risk is clear: if developers don’t manage this shift, they’ll build stranded assets at scale.

This article explains what’s causing solar cannibalization and how to build a diversified solar portfolio to mitigate price risk.

Subscribers will also be able to download the data behind this report - find the link at the bottom of the article.

Key takeaways

    Download

    Modo_Energy_GB_Solar_Cannibalization_May_2025_Databook.xlsx

    To continue reading this article you need a GB Research subscription